Model forecast · 55% · Decision
Raoni Barcelos at 55% — the model has him ahead on volume and wrestling against Raul Rosas Jr. (12-1), with the cards the likeliest finish line.
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Where it could go wrong — Model confidence is thin here (55%). A live underdog price on Raul Rosas Jr. is the value side.
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Middleweight
Model forecast · 69% · Decision
Rodolfo Vieira at 69% — the model has him ahead on accuracy and volume against Robert Bryczek (18-7), with the cards the likeliest finish line.
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Bantamweight
Model forecast · 82% · Decision
Rinya Nakamura at 82% — the model has him ahead on damage taken and wrestling against Brady Hiestand (9-2), with the cards the likeliest finish line.
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Where it could go wrong — One of the model's firmest reads on the card at 82% — the upset would be a genuine surprise.
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Bantamweight
Model forecast · 56% · Decision
Mehemmedeli Osmanli at 56% — the model has him ahead on win rate against Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu (10-3), with the cards the likeliest finish line.
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Women's Strawweight
Model forecast · 82% · Decision
Valesca Machado at 82% — the model has him ahead on defence and volume against Melissa Amaya (8-0), with the cards the likeliest finish line.
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Where it could go wrong — One of the model's firmest reads on the card at 82% — the upset would be a genuine surprise.
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