JBCombat
← Back to the card

Fight-week read · T-18d

UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit: what the numbers actually say

Every read below comes straight off the tape — finish rates, output per minute, takedown load. No hype, no picks sold to you. Sat, 14 Nov 2026 at New York City, New York, USA.

  • 01

    Josh Hokit brings the heaviest wrestling load on the card at 3.7 takedowns per 15 minutes — a bad night for method picks.

  • 02

    Kayla Harrison vs Amanda Nunes is statistically the tightest bout on the card — the one most likely to wreck a perfect slate.

Bout by bout

Where each fight is won.

Heavyweight
Main event
Title

Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit

14-2 · 10-0 · model: Josh Hokit 71% Decision

  • Striking volume

    Josh Hokit lands 3.9 more significant strikes per minute. On the judges' cards, that gap is usually the difference in a fight nobody finishes.

  • Defence vs volume

    Adjusting each man's output for the other's striking defence, Josh Hokit projects the cleaner exchanges — roughly 3.7 landed per minute against 2.8.

  • Grappling

    Josh Hokit averages 3.1 more takedowns per 15 minutes, and Ciryl Gane stops 47% of attempts — the wrestling exchanges are where this fight gets decided.

Women's Bantamweight
Title

Kayla Harrison vs Amanda Nunes

19-1 · 23-5 · model: Kayla Harrison 77% Decision

  • Physical edge

    Amanda Nunes carries 7cm more reach. It only matters if he fights at range — the shorter man has to make it ugly early.

Middleweight

Caio Borralho vs Yousri Belgaroui

18-2 · 10-3 · model: Yousri Belgaroui 78% Decision

  • Striking volume

    Yousri Belgaroui lands 2.6 more significant strikes per minute. On the judges' cards, that gap is usually the difference in a fight nobody finishes.

  • Defence vs volume

    Adjusting each man's output for the other's striking defence, Yousri Belgaroui projects the cleaner exchanges — roughly 2.4 landed per minute against 1.3.

  • Grappling

    Caio Borralho averages 1 more takedowns per 15 minutes, and Yousri Belgaroui stops 66% of attempts — the wrestling exchanges are where this fight gets decided.

Welterweight

Uros Medic vs Kevin Holland

14-3 · 29-15 · model: Uros Medic 68% Decision

  • Striking volume

    Uros Medic lands 1.5 more significant strikes per minute. On the judges' cards, that gap is usually the difference in a fight nobody finishes.

  • Defence vs volume

    Adjusting each man's output for the other's striking defence, Uros Medic projects the cleaner exchanges — roughly 2.9 landed per minute against 1.9.

  • Physical edge

    Kevin Holland carries 26cm more reach. It only matters if he fights at range — the shorter man has to make it ugly early.

Flyweight

Bilal Hasan vs Luis Gurule

9-0 · 11-4 · model: Bilal Hasan 82% Decision

  • Striking volume

    Bilal Hasan lands 22.6 more significant strikes per minute. On the judges' cards, that gap is usually the difference in a fight nobody finishes.

  • Defence vs volume

    Adjusting each man's output for the other's striking defence, Bilal Hasan projects the cleaner exchanges — roughly 12 landed per minute against 2.3.

  • Physical edge

    Bilal Hasan carries 15cm more reach. It only matters if he fights at range — the shorter man has to make it ugly early.

Lock your picks

Stats-derived analysis · Not betting advice