Welterweight
15-2
13-4
Decision · R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse
Unofficial — our read, not the judges' · Punahele Soriano 10-9
Donchenko led the significant strikes 13-4, but Soriano landed three takedowns and controlled 3:16 of the round. That extended grappling time could sway the scorecards toward Soriano, so Donchenko needed to keep the fight standing.
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Unofficial — our read, not the judges' · Daniil Donchenko 10-9
Donchenko outlanded Soriano 33-6 in significant strikes, while Soriano’s lone takedown produced only 11 seconds of control. That should make it a clear Donchenko round on the scorecards, and Soriano needs to narrow the striking gap or turn his takedowns into sustained control.
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Unofficial — our read, not the judges' · Daniil Donchenko 10-9
Donchenko outlanded Soriano 37-5 in significant strikes, scored the round’s only knockdown and led control time 0:39 to 0:05, with neither fighter recording a takedown. That gives Donchenko a clear Round 1 scorecard edge and reinforces his pre-fight decision advantage; Soriano needs to close the significant-strike gap.
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Before the bell
Donchenko’s 8.07 significant strikes landed per minute against Soriano’s 4.42 is the deciding number, supporting the model’s 82% decision lean and a scorecard edge for the red corner. Donchenko wins by sustaining that striking output while relying on 70% striking defence and 75% takedown defence. Soriano’s route is his 1.97 takedowns per 15 minutes, but he needs to reduce the striking-volume gap. In round one, watch whether Soriano can establish his takedowns before Donchenko’s output begins shaping the scorecards.
Official statistics via ufcstats · Round reads are AI-assisted · Not betting advice