Lightweight
12-1-1
18-5
KO / TKO · R1 1:40 · UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse
Unofficial — our read, not the judges' · Too close to split
Axel Sola edged the significant strikes 9-7 and scored the round’s only knockdown, with neither fighter landing a takedown. That likely puts Sola ahead on the scorecards despite the pre-fight model favoring Fares Ziam by decision; Ziam needs to close the striking gap and avoid another knockdown.
Auto-written from the official numbers
Before the bell
Fares Ziam vs Axel Sola at Lightweight. Fares Ziam "The Smile Killer" — record 18-5, 0 wins by knockout, 0 by submission, age 29, height 185cm, reach 191cm, Orthodox stance, 2.68 significant strikes landed per minute, 52% striking accuracy, 1.58 strikes absorbed per minute, 63% striking defence, 1.86 takedowns per 15 minutes, 70% takedown defence, 0.5 submission attempts per 15 minutes. Axel Sola — record 12-1-1, 0 wins by knockout, 0 by submission, age 28, height 183cm, reach 188cm, Southpaw stance, 4.5 significant strikes landed per minute, 50% striking accuracy, 4.53 strikes absorbed per minute, 61% striking defence, 1.89 takedowns per 15 minutes, 66% takedown defence, 0.5 submission attempts per 15 minutes. Our model favours Fares Ziam at 55% by decision. Model confidence is thin here (54%). A live underdog price on Axel Sola is the value side.
Official statistics via ufcstats · Round reads are AI-assisted · Not betting advice