Before the bell

Tsarukyan is favored at 68% by decision, with 4.39 takedowns per 15 minutes as his route to the scorecards, while Ruffy’s 191cm reach and 57% striking accuracy support a striking-based path. The deciding number is Ruffy’s 86% takedown defence. In round one, watch whether Tsarukyan can get inside the 13cm reach disadvantage and begin landing takedowns; that is the adjustment he needs.