Lightweight
16-3
36-17-1
KO / TKO · R1 4:08 · UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang
Unofficial — our read, not the judges' · Esteban Ribovics 10-9
Ribovics outlanded Green 35-27 in significant strikes, scored three knockdowns, and held a 0:31 to 0:04 control edge. That should put Ribovics clearly ahead on the scorecards after one round despite the pre-fight model favoring Green by decision. Green needs to tighten his defense and close the striking gap.
Auto-written from the official numbers
Before the bell
King Green lands 6.49 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.63, giving him the cleaner path to a decision, while Esteban Ribovics wins by making his higher 7.43-strike output count. The deciding number is 5.74, Ribovics’ significant strikes absorbed per minute, which supports Green’s thin 55% decision edge on the scorecards. In round one, watch whether Ribovics can tighten his 54% striking defence; if he does, his live underdog price is the value side.
Official statistics via ufcstats · Round reads are AI-assisted · Not betting advice